An Update on the Macro Thesis for Investing in Turkey and Two Blue-Chip Stocks to Consider
About six months ago, I introduced the idea of investing in Turkey. Unfortunately, it was not and still is not the ideal home for capital. The perception of politics is foggy, currency depreciation appears to be accelerating, and the sentiment is lackluster at best.
One Stock in Turkey to Consider NOW
As promised, I wanted to cover specific stocks in Turkey following my background post on the country last month. Sentiment remains terrible, and the lira is making all-time lows vs. the dollar.
This has all the makings of the bargain bin. Turkey is not slipping into the Aegean nor the Black Sea, but the headlines make it difficult for institutional investors to bear. To protect limited capital, local investors may be forced to diversify further into USD or other assets.
Looking for Value in Emerging Market Banks
A great myth in investing has been the homogeneity of Emerging Markets. Once you leave North America, Western Europe, and Japan, it’s like the world is all the same. Whether it’s Emerging Market banks, oil companies, or grocery stores, nuances are irrelevant.
Opportunities in Turkish Stocks in the Eye of the Storm
Perhaps it is the world we live in, but the economic events in Turkey over the past couple of years would usually make bigger headlines. Although the world is more occupied with start-ups, memes, and crypto, a storm and opportunity in Turkish stocks are brewing.
Over the last 24 months, the country’s currency, the Lira, has lost nearly half its value. The stock market has lost about a quarter of its value in USD terms, and inflation is currently near 20%. Yet, the biggest headlines regarding Turkey are bitcoin exchange frauds.
