Russia Sanctions: Q&A and Resources
The Russia sanctions resulting from the invasion of Ukraine in February have created confusion in the market. These sanctions are the first to affect many publicly traded equities on US and European Exchanges in recent memory. I am writing a Q&A today covering the mechanics of what is happening from my perspective.
The Castaway’s 2021 Log and 3 Investing Goals for 2022
It’s that exciting time of year after taking stock of 2021. Hopefully, we’re all a little wiser and still motivated to improve and set up new investing goals. Markets-wise, 2021 was probably a better year than 2020 for most. There was no massive drawdown at the beginning of the year, and fiscal and monetary policies were accommodative and in sync through most of the year.
Still, there is room for improvement. I have spent the past couple of weeks reviewing my performance, trades, and journal entries from last year to better understand what went right, where I messed up, and how I can do it better in 2022. Hopefully, sharing this exercise can inspire and motivate you to consider similar practices.
An Update on the Macro Thesis for Investing in Turkey and Two Blue-Chip Stocks to Consider
About six months ago, I introduced the idea of investing in Turkey. Unfortunately, it was not and still is not the ideal home for capital. The perception of politics is foggy, currency depreciation appears to be accelerating, and the sentiment is lackluster at best.
Emerging Markets are an Opportunity Set, Not an Asset Class
I am stepping back to do a quick survey of the broader Emerging Markets (EM) space. The broad EM index has dramatically underperformed as compared to developed markets for the last decade.
Another Angle on Commodities Investing: An Analysis of Four Transportation Stocks in Russia
Commodities investing tends to focus on the price of the underlying good. Investors typically concentrate on the good or its producers. For example, in one of my first posts, I outlined various ways of playing the uranium sector.
My Investing Process and 3 Productivity Trading Tools for Investors
Today, I’m writing about the cornerstone elements of my process and will share some of the trading tools I use to keep good habits and make things a lot easier.
Opportunities in Turkish Stocks in the Eye of the Storm
Perhaps it is the world we live in, but the economic events in Turkey over the past couple of years would usually make bigger headlines. Although the world is more occupied with start-ups, memes, and crypto, a storm and opportunity in Turkish stocks are brewing.
Over the last 24 months, the country’s currency, the Lira, has lost nearly half its value. The stock market has lost about a quarter of its value in USD terms, and inflation is currently near 20%. Yet, the biggest headlines regarding Turkey are bitcoin exchange frauds.
European Bank Stocks, Moral Hazard and Untangling Bank Regulations, Part II
Following up on last month’s piece, we’re going to put the theory to numbers with an example to illustrate the impact of capital rules and the various levers they apply on bank stocks. After that, we’ll look at a couple of European bank stock ideas. If you didn’t read the last post, I recommend you do that first.
European Bank Stocks, Moral Hazard and Untangling Bank Regulations, Part I
Published on March 26, 2021 Time is a bit warped in the COVID-continuum. Still, some of us may remember a little less than a decade ago when European financial stability occupied major headlines for what seemed like an interminable amount of time. Bank stocks there were going to implode, and Europe could not get out of its own way to stop them. Amidst increasing regulatory and product complexity,…
Updates on Uranium, Greece and Russia PLUS Observations on and Improvements to the Blog
This blog started a little over six months ago. I hope it has provided you with ideas, opportunities, and lessons without having to learn the hard way. Today, I want to talk about some observations on the blog itself. Specifically, what’s been popular, a general overview of the readership, and where things are generally headed. I’ll also introduce a couple of new features that I hope will improve your experience. Finally, I will update the key investment themes discussed in prior posts, namely uranium, Greece, and Russia.
A Survey of Capital Controls and Black Market FX: A Refresher for Developed Market Investors
For this first February post, I am stepping back to cover a broader topic important for international investors to understand. We will talk about FX regimes, capital controls, and black market FX—parallel market foreign exchange in PC lingo. Few investors from the US or Europe born after 1980 have never had to deal with the uncertainty surrounding foreign exchange rules, buying, or selling international securities. The dollar has been floating since 1971, and although many European countries have switched from Francs, Lira and D-Marks to Euros, the rules have been pretty straightforward. We’ll let our currency float and occasionally talk it down (rarely up) if it appreciates (depreciates) too much.
The Recent Investment Cycle in Greece
…and Three Greek Stocks to Consider Now
Nearly four months ago, I published two posts explaining how investors can understand and take advantage of market cycles. However, the real challenge and opportunity are in execution, so today I’ll cover an example of an actionable cycle in Greek stocks to make the theory tangible.
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