Emerging Markets are an Opportunity Set, Not an Asset Class
I am stepping back to do a quick survey of the broader Emerging Markets (EM) space. The broad EM index has dramatically underperformed as compared to developed markets for the last decade.
Another Angle on Commodities Investing: An Analysis of Four Transportation Stocks in Russia
Commodities investing tends to focus on the price of the underlying good. Investors typically concentrate on the good or its producers. For example, in one of my first posts, I outlined various ways of playing the uranium sector.
My Investing Process and 3 Productivity Trading Tools for Investors
Today, I’m writing about the cornerstone elements of my process and will share some of the trading tools I use to keep good habits and make things a lot easier.
Opportunities in Turkish Stocks in the Eye of the Storm
Perhaps it is the world we live in, but the economic events in Turkey over the past couple of years would usually make bigger headlines. Although the world is more occupied with start-ups, memes, and crypto, a storm and opportunity in Turkish stocks are brewing.
Over the last 24 months, the country’s currency, the Lira, has lost nearly half its value. The stock market has lost about a quarter of its value in USD terms, and inflation is currently near 20%. Yet, the biggest headlines regarding Turkey are bitcoin exchange frauds.
European Bank Stocks, Moral Hazard and Untangling Bank Regulations, Part II
Following up on last month’s piece, we’re going to put the theory to numbers with an example to illustrate the impact of capital rules and the various levers they apply on bank stocks. After that, we’ll look at a couple of European bank stock ideas. If you didn’t read the last post, I recommend you do that first.
European Bank Stocks, Moral Hazard and Untangling Bank Regulations, Part I
Published on March 26, 2021 Time is a bit warped in the COVID-continuum. Still, some of us may remember a little less than a decade ago when European financial stability occupied major headlines for what seemed like an interminable amount of time. Bank stocks there were going to implode, and Europe could not get out of its own way to stop them. Amidst increasing regulatory and product complexity,…
Updates on Uranium, Greece and Russia PLUS Observations on and Improvements to the Blog
This blog started a little over six months ago. I hope it has provided you with ideas, opportunities, and lessons without having to learn the hard way. Today, I want to talk about some observations on the blog itself. Specifically, what’s been popular, a general overview of the readership, and where things are generally headed. I’ll also introduce a couple of new features that I hope will improve your experience. Finally, I will update the key investment themes discussed in prior posts, namely uranium, Greece, and Russia.
A Survey of Capital Controls and Black Market FX: A Refresher for Developed Market Investors
For this first February post, I am stepping back to cover a broader topic important for international investors to understand. We will talk about FX regimes, capital controls, and black market FX—parallel market foreign exchange in PC lingo. Few investors from the US or Europe born after 1980 have never had to deal with the uncertainty surrounding foreign exchange rules, buying, or selling international securities. The dollar has been floating since 1971, and although many European countries have switched from Francs, Lira and D-Marks to Euros, the rules have been pretty straightforward. We’ll let our currency float and occasionally talk it down (rarely up) if it appreciates (depreciates) too much.
The Recent Investment Cycle in Greece
…and Three Greek Stocks to Consider Now
Nearly four months ago, I published two posts explaining how investors can understand and take advantage of market cycles. However, the real challenge and opportunity are in execution, so today I’ll cover an example of an actionable cycle in Greek stocks to make the theory tangible.
5 Investing Tips for 2021 and The Castaway Capitalist’s 2020 Log
When I tried to co-launch a new investment manager a few years back, I started the habit of reviewing the prior investing year’s actions and setting goals for the new one. This post is a summary of my review of 2020.
Hungry for Knowledge and Ready to Improve Your Investing Skills?
The Castaway Capitalist’s Resources Page is Up and Running!
I have created a page for investors looking for additional resources. You can access the page from the menu bar at the top right of the main page or here.
4 Reasons to Invest in Uranium NOW
And the Best Stock to Consider
The holy grail of investing is finding large mispricings with a clear and imminent catalyst to realign prices. These can be found due to market structure and non-economic factors, like human behavior (as discussed in my prior article on cycles), which causes people to extrapolate recent history beyond what is appropriate.
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